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DOI: 10.14569/IJACSA.2019.0100410
PDF

Industrial Financial Forecasting using Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Networks

Author 1: Muhammad Mohsin Ali
Author 2: Muhammad Imran Babar
Author 3: Muhammad Hamza
Author 4: Muhammad Jehanzeb
Author 5: Saad Habib
Author 6: Muhammad Sajid Khan

International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications(IJACSA), Volume 10 Issue 4, 2019.

  • Abstract and Keywords
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Abstract: This research deals with the industrial financial forecasting in order to calculate the yearly expenditure of the organization. Forecasting helps in estimation of the future trends and provides a valuable information to make the industrial decisions. With growing economies, the financial world spends billions in terms of expenses. These expenditures are also defined as budgets or operational resources for a functional workplace. These expenses carry a fluctuating property as opposed to a linear or constant growth and this information if extracted can reshape the future in terms of effective spending of finances and will give an insight for the future budgeting reforms. It is a challenge to grasp over the changing trends with an effective accuracy and for this purpose machine learning approaches can be utilized. In this study Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), which is a variant of Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) from the family of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), is used for forecasting purposes along with a statistical tool IBM SPSS for comparative analysis. In this study, the experiments are performed on the data set of Pakistan GDP by type of expenditure at current prices - national currency (1970-2016) produced by Economic Statistics Branch of the United Nations Statistics Division (UNSD). Results of this study demonstrate that the proposed model predicted the expenses with better accuracy than that of the classical statistical tools.

Keywords: Financial forecasting; prediction; long-short term memory; recurrent neural networks; artificial neural networks; IBM SPSS

Muhammad Mohsin Ali, Muhammad Imran Babar, Muhammad Hamza, Muhammad Jehanzeb, Saad Habib and Muhammad Sajid Khan, “Industrial Financial Forecasting using Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Networks” International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications(IJACSA), 10(4), 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.14569/IJACSA.2019.0100410

@article{Ali2019,
title = {Industrial Financial Forecasting using Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Networks},
journal = {International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications},
doi = {10.14569/IJACSA.2019.0100410},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.14569/IJACSA.2019.0100410},
year = {2019},
publisher = {The Science and Information Organization},
volume = {10},
number = {4},
author = {Muhammad Mohsin Ali and Muhammad Imran Babar and Muhammad Hamza and Muhammad Jehanzeb and Saad Habib and Muhammad Sajid Khan}
}



Copyright Statement: This is an open access article licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, even commercially as long as the original work is properly cited.

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