The Science and Information (SAI) Organization
  • Home
  • About Us
  • Journals
  • Conferences
  • Contact Us

Publication Links

  • IJACSA
  • Author Guidelines
  • Publication Policies
  • Digital Archiving Policy
  • Promote your Publication
  • Metadata Harvesting (OAI2)

IJACSA

  • About the Journal
  • Call for Papers
  • Editorial Board
  • Author Guidelines
  • Submit your Paper
  • Current Issue
  • Archives
  • Indexing
  • Fees/ APC
  • Reviewers
  • Apply as a Reviewer

IJARAI

  • About the Journal
  • Archives
  • Indexing & Archiving

Special Issues

  • Home
  • Archives
  • Proposals
  • Guest Editors
  • SUSAI-EE 2025
  • ICONS-BA 2025
  • IoT-BLOCK 2025

Future of Information and Communication Conference (FICC)

  • Home
  • Call for Papers
  • Submit your Paper/Poster
  • Register
  • Venue
  • Contact

Computing Conference

  • Home
  • Call for Papers
  • Submit your Paper/Poster
  • Register
  • Venue
  • Contact

Intelligent Systems Conference (IntelliSys)

  • Home
  • Call for Papers
  • Submit your Paper/Poster
  • Register
  • Venue
  • Contact

Future Technologies Conference (FTC)

  • Home
  • Call for Papers
  • Submit your Paper/Poster
  • Register
  • Venue
  • Contact
  • Home
  • Call for Papers
  • Editorial Board
  • Guidelines
  • Submit
  • Current Issue
  • Archives
  • Indexing
  • Fees
  • Reviewers
  • Subscribe

DOI: 10.14569/IJACSA.2022.0131026
PDF

Forecasting Covid-19 Time Series Data using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)

Author 1: Harun Mukhtar
Author 2: Reny Medikawati Taufiq
Author 3: Ilham Herwinanda
Author 4: Doni Winarso
Author 5: Regiolina Hayami

International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications(IJACSA), Volume 13 Issue 10, 2022.

  • Abstract and Keywords
  • How to Cite this Article
  • {} BibTeX Source

Abstract: Confirmed statistical data of Covid-19 cases that have accumulated sourced from (https://corona.riau.go.id/data-statistik/) in Riau Province on June 7, 2021, there were 63441 cases, on June 14, 2021, it increased to 65883 cases, on June 21, 2021, it increased to 67910, and on June 28, 2021, it increased to 69830 cases. Since the beginning of this pandemic outbreak, it has been observed that the case data continues to increase every week until this July. This study predicts cases of Covid-19 time series data in Riau Province using the LSTM algorithm, with a dataset of 64 lines. Long-Short Term Memory has the ability to store memory information for patterns in the data for a long time at the same time. Tests predicting historical data for Covid-19 cases in Riau Province resulted in the lowest RMSE value in the training data, which was 8.87, and the test data, which was 13.00, in the death column. The evaluation of the best MAPE value in the training data, which is 0.23%, is in the recovered column, and the evaluation of the best MAPE value in the test data, which is 0.27%, in the positive_number column. In the test to predict the next 30 days using the LSTM model that has been trained, it was found that the performance evaluation of the prediction results for the positive_number column and the death column was very good, the recovery column was categorized as good, the independent_isolation column and the care_rs column were categorized as poor.

Keywords: Time series prediction; forecasting; recurrent neural network; long short-term memory

Harun Mukhtar, Reny Medikawati Taufiq, Ilham Herwinanda, Doni Winarso and Regiolina Hayami, “Forecasting Covid-19 Time Series Data using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)” International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications(IJACSA), 13(10), 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.14569/IJACSA.2022.0131026

@article{Mukhtar2022,
title = {Forecasting Covid-19 Time Series Data using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)},
journal = {International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications},
doi = {10.14569/IJACSA.2022.0131026},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.14569/IJACSA.2022.0131026},
year = {2022},
publisher = {The Science and Information Organization},
volume = {13},
number = {10},
author = {Harun Mukhtar and Reny Medikawati Taufiq and Ilham Herwinanda and Doni Winarso and Regiolina Hayami}
}



Copyright Statement: This is an open access article licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, even commercially as long as the original work is properly cited.

IJACSA

Upcoming Conferences

IntelliSys 2025

28-29 August 2025

  • Amsterdam, The Netherlands

Future Technologies Conference 2025

6-7 November 2025

  • Munich, Germany

Healthcare Conference 2026

21-22 May 2026

  • Amsterdam, The Netherlands

Computing Conference 2026

9-10 July 2026

  • London, United Kingdom

IntelliSys 2026

3-4 September 2026

  • Amsterdam, The Netherlands

Computer Vision Conference 2026

15-16 October 2026

  • Berlin, Germany
The Science and Information (SAI) Organization
BACK TO TOP

Computer Science Journal

  • About the Journal
  • Call for Papers
  • Submit Paper
  • Indexing

Our Conferences

  • Computing Conference
  • Intelligent Systems Conference
  • Future Technologies Conference
  • Communication Conference

Help & Support

  • Contact Us
  • About Us
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Privacy Policy

© The Science and Information (SAI) Organization Limited. All rights reserved. Registered in England and Wales. Company Number 8933205. thesai.org