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DOI: 10.14569/IJACSA.2017.080536
PDF

Forecasting Production Values using Fuzzy Logic Interval based Partitioning in Different Intervals

Author 1: Shubham Aggarwal
Author 2: Jatin Sokhal
Author 3: Bindu Garg

International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications(IJACSA), Volume 8 Issue 5, 2017.

  • Abstract and Keywords
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Abstract: Fuzzy time series models have been put forward for rice production from many researchers around the globe, but the prediction has not been very accurate. Frequency density or ratio based partitioning methods have been used to represent the partition of discourse. We observed that various prediction models used 7th interval based partitioning for their prediction models, so we wanted to find the reason for that and along with finding the explanation for that we have proposed a novel algorithm to make predictions easy. We have tried to provide an explanation for that. This paper has been put forth due to the motivation from previously published research works in prediction logics. In the current paper, we use a fuzzy time series model and provide a more accurate result than the methods already existent. To make such predictions, we have used interval based partitioning as the partition of discourse and actual production as the universe of discourse. Fuzzy models are used for prediction in many areas, like enrolments prediction, stock price analysis, weather forecasting, and rice production.

Keywords: Mean Square Error; Fuzzy time series; Average Forecast Error Rate

Shubham Aggarwal, Jatin Sokhal and Bindu Garg, “Forecasting Production Values using Fuzzy Logic Interval based Partitioning in Different Intervals” International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications(IJACSA), 8(5), 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.14569/IJACSA.2017.080536

@article{Aggarwal2017,
title = {Forecasting Production Values using Fuzzy Logic Interval based Partitioning in Different Intervals},
journal = {International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications},
doi = {10.14569/IJACSA.2017.080536},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.14569/IJACSA.2017.080536},
year = {2017},
publisher = {The Science and Information Organization},
volume = {8},
number = {5},
author = {Shubham Aggarwal and Jatin Sokhal and Bindu Garg}
}



Copyright Statement: This is an open access article licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, even commercially as long as the original work is properly cited.

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