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DOI: 10.14569/IJACSA.2018.090859
PDF

Artificial Neural Network based Weather Prediction using Back Propagation Technique

Author 1: Saboor Ahmad Kakar
Author 2: Naveed Sheikh
Author 3: Adnan Naseem
Author 4: Saleem Iqbal
Author 5: Abdul Rehman
Author 6: Aziz ullah Kakar
Author 7: Bilal Ahmad Kakar
Author 8: Hazrat Ali Kakar
Author 9: Bilal Khan

International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications(IJACSA), Volume 9 Issue 8, 2018.

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Abstract: Weather forecasting is a natural phenomenon which has some chaotic changes happening with the passage of time. It has become an essential topic of research due to some abrupt scenarios of weather. As the data of forecast is nonlinear and follows some irregular trends and patterns, there are many traditional techniques (the literature like nonlinear statistics) to work on the efficiency of models to make prediction better than previous models. However, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) has so far evolved out to be as a better way to improve the accuracy and reliability. The ANN is one of the most fastest growing technique of machine learning considered as non-linear predictive models to perform classification and prediction weather forecasts maximum temperature for the whole days (365) of the year. Therefore, a multi-layered neural network is designed and trained with the existing dataset and obtained a relationship between the existing non-linear parameters of weather. Eleven weather features were used to perform classification of weather into four types. Furthermore, twenty training examples from 1997-2015 were used to predict eleven weather features. The results revealed that by increasing the number of hidden layers, the trained neural network can classify and predict the weather variables with less error.

Keywords: Weather forecasting; artificial neural network; classification; prediction; backpropagation; hidden layers

Saboor Ahmad Kakar, Naveed Sheikh, Adnan Naseem, Saleem Iqbal, Abdul Rehman, Aziz ullah Kakar, Bilal Ahmad Kakar, Hazrat Ali Kakar and Bilal Khan. “Artificial Neural Network based Weather Prediction using Back Propagation Technique”. International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications (IJACSA) 9.8 (2018). http://dx.doi.org/10.14569/IJACSA.2018.090859

@article{Kakar2018,
title = {Artificial Neural Network based Weather Prediction using Back Propagation Technique},
journal = {International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications},
doi = {10.14569/IJACSA.2018.090859},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.14569/IJACSA.2018.090859},
year = {2018},
publisher = {The Science and Information Organization},
volume = {9},
number = {8},
author = {Saboor Ahmad Kakar and Naveed Sheikh and Adnan Naseem and Saleem Iqbal and Abdul Rehman and Aziz ullah Kakar and Bilal Ahmad Kakar and Hazrat Ali Kakar and Bilal Khan}
}



Copyright Statement: This is an open access article licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, even commercially as long as the original work is properly cited.

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