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Article Details

Copyright Statement: This is an open access article licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, even commercially as long as the original work is properly cited.

A Quantum based Evolutionary Algorithm for Stock Index and Bitcoin Price Forecasting

Author 1: Usman Amjad
Author 2: Tahseen Ahmed Jilani
Author 3: Humera Tariq
Author 4: Amir Hussain

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Digital Object Identifier (DOI) : 10.14569/IJACSA.2018.090917

Article Published in International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications(ijacsa), Volume 9 Issue 9, 2018.

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Abstract: Quantum computing has emerged as a new dimension with various applications in different fields like robotic, cryptography, uncertainty modeling etc. On the other hand, nature inspired techniques are playing vital role in solving complex problems through evolutionary approach. While evolutionary approaches are good to solve stochastic problems in unbounded search space, predicting uncertain and ambiguous problems in real life is of immense importance. With improved forecasting accuracy many unforeseen events can be managed well. In this paper a novel algorithm for Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) prediction by using Quantum concepts is proposed in this paper. Quantum Evolutionary Algorithm (QEA) is used along with fuzzy logic for prediction of time series data. QEA is applied on interval lengths for finding out optimized lengths of intervals producing best forecasting accuracy. The algorithm is applied for forecasting Taiwan Futures Exchange (TIAFEX) index as well as for Bitcoin crypto currency time series data as a new approach. Model results were compared with many preceding algorithms.

Keywords: Quantum evolutionary algorithm; fuzzy time series; nature inspired computing; fuzzy logic; crypto currency; bitcoin

Usman Amjad, Tahseen Ahmed Jilani, Humera Tariq and Amir Hussain, “A Quantum based Evolutionary Algorithm for Stock Index and Bitcoin Price Forecasting” International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications(ijacsa), 9(9), 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.14569/IJACSA.2018.090917

@article{Amjad2018,
title = {A Quantum based Evolutionary Algorithm for Stock Index and Bitcoin Price Forecasting},
journal = {International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications},
doi = {10.14569/IJACSA.2018.090917},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.14569/IJACSA.2018.090917},
year = {2018},
publisher = {The Science and Information Organization},
volume = {9},
number = {9},
author = {Usman Amjad and Tahseen Ahmed Jilani and Humera Tariq and Amir Hussain}
}


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